Casein Glue prices in 2025 experienced a slightly fluctuating but otherwise stable price movement, with the primary price influences stemming from the price movements in the casein market as well as the milk market in New Zealand. In the first half of 2025, the prices declined at the start as the normal buying activity resulted in the maintenance of raw material supply. The food and nutrition sectors’ normal buying activity resulted in the reduced need to purchase raw materials, hence the decline in the prices of casein glue. In the second half, the strong export orders resulted in the prices going up, but the prices did not remain high for long as the raw material supply remained adequate.
During the second half of the year, prices traded in a narrow range. The third quarter saw some firming in the prices due to increased production costs. However, the increase in milk production and rising casein production restrained the growth of casein glue prices. During the fourth quarter of the year, the availability of milk supplies and steady export demand resulted in a gradual softening of casein glue prices. Thus, the casein glue prices traded in a stable manner with minor fluctuations during 2025.
Analyst Insight
According to Procurement Resource, Casein Glue prices are expected to remain stable, supported by steady milk production and balanced demand from industrial and packaging sectors.
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The prices of Casein Glue in the second half of 2024 recorded a slightly firm yet fluctuating trend, mainly due to the impact of changes in the casein and milk markets. During the third quarter of 2024, the prices of Casein Glue recorded an upward trend in some regions due to the increase in milk prices, which was caused by bad weather conditions such as heavy rains in Asia and hurricanes in North America. Strong demand for dairy products, especially from China and other international markets, supported the prices of casein, which in turn pushed up the production costs of casein glue. The limited milk supply in key exporting countries also contributed to the upward trend in the prices of casein glue.
However, in the fourth quarter, the market became stable with minor fluctuations. The increase in milk production in China had a negative impact on casein, but the consistent demand for high protein content dairy products in North America and the balanced market in Europe helped to support the market. The processors were more focused on producing cheese and whey, which had a slight impact on the availability of casein, but the stable market pricing for casein glue remained consistent.
In the second quarter of 2024, prices of Casein Glue were slightly weak and volatile, driven by fluctuations in the dairy and casein market. Casein is a key raw material in the manufacture of casein glue, and hence any fluctuations in milk supply will directly impact prices. From April to June, there was a gradual increase in milk supply, which helped to normalize prices. However, demand from end-use industries such as wood bonding, paper, and packaging slowed down marginally after the winter season.
However, as the quarter progressed, the suppliers held high inventories due to the expectation of better demand. But the actual demand remained moderate. Hence, the prices of casein declined due to a decrease in demand. The prices of casein glue also declined due to the decline in casein prices. Freight problems and trade challenges also created uncertainty in the market. Overall, the market remained dull. The prices declined slightly towards the end of the quarter due to a comfortable supply and weak demand sentiment.
In the first quarter of 2024, the market for casein glue experienced trends closely aligned with the fluctuations in its primary feedstock, casein, which was affected by the broader dynamics in the dairy industry and global supply chain issues.
The quarter had a firm start in January, as casein demand surged during the peak winter months. Thus, the prices also saw initial increments during this time. It led to increased production efforts and stockpiling anticipations among casein glue manufacturers, who relied heavily on the availability and stability of casein supplies. This initial increase in production and inventory levels contributed to heightened market activity for casein glue.
However, as the quarter progressed and the casein market began to stabilize due to increased supplies and adjustments in production rates, the casein glue industry similarly saw a shift towards market stabilization. Manufacturers adjusted their production outputs in response to the changing availability of casein, leading to a more balanced market by the end of the quarter. Overall, the casein glue industry's trends during this period exhibited fluctuations and stabilization persistently.
Casein glue is a natural adhesive derived from the protein found in milk. It has been used historically for its strong bonding properties, especially in woodworking and furniture making. Casein glue is valued for its high water resistance and non-toxic nature, making it a popular choice in industries like bookbinding, paper coating, and packaging. Despite the rise of synthetic adhesives, casein glue remains favored for certain applications, particularly where environmental considerations or the need for natural products are paramount.
Woodworking, Paper Coating, Label Adhesives, Bookbinding, Packaging Materials
Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited, Groupe Lactalis, Arla Foods amba, Kerry Group PLC, Royal FrieslandCampina N.V.
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